Browsing by Author "Guerra, Maricarmen"

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    Flow characterization and turbulence in the eastern section of the Strait of Magellan, Southern Chile
    (2024) Suarez, Leandro; Guerra, Maricarmen; Williams, Megan E.; Escauriaza, Cristian; Lozovatsky, Iossif; Coppersmith, Ronald; Fernando, Harindra Joseph S.
    The Strait of Magellan connects the Pacific and Atlantic oceans in South America's southern region, and it has been recognized for centuries as an important transoceanic navigation route as well as a unique marine environment with a rich ecological diversity. Evaluations of the impact of human activities in the channel and multiple potential future developments require abetter understanding of the physical environment to design sustainable strategies aimed at preserving these characteristics. In this investigation, we study the flow near the Atlantic inlet of the Strait where the dynamics is characterized by the interactions of the tide propagation within two narrows, which are the predominant features of the channel morphology. Tides amplified by the Patagonian shelf generate strong currents through these narrows and control the exchange between the Atlantic and central regions of the Strait. We employ bottom-mounted and vessel-mounted Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCPs) with tide gauges to analyze the mean flow, tidal propagation, and turbulence, complementing the data with previous available measurements. The analysis reveals residual flows directed toward ebb flow at the channel center and flood near the edges, showing a significant spring-neap variation. Turbulence statistics in the second narrows exhibit a significant variability between ebb and flood, with a balance between production and dissipation observed only during ebb phases.
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    From Multi-Risk Evaluation to Resilience Planning: The Case of Central Chilean Coastal Cities
    (2019) Barria, Pilar; Luisa Cruzat, Maria; Cienfuegos, Rodrigo; Gironas, Jorge; Escauriaza Mesa, Cristian Rodrigo; Bonilla, Carlos; Moris, Roberto; Ledezma, Christian; Guerra, Maricarmen; Rodriguez, Raimundo; Torres, Alma
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    Modeling Rapid Flood Propagation Over Natural Terrains Using a Well-Balanced Scheme
    (2014) Guerra, Maricarmen; Cienfuegos Carrasco, Rodrigo Alberto; Escauriaza Mesa, Cristián Rodrigo; Marche, Fabien; Galaz, José
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    The status quo effect in the sociohydrology of floods
    (2024) Leal, Catalina Mendoza; Coloma, Rocio; Ponce, Diego; Alarcon, Benjamin; Guerra, Maricarmen; Stehr, Alejandra; Carrasco, Juan Antonio; Alcayaga, Hernan; Rojas, Octavio; Link, Felipe; Link, Oscar
    Two behavioural types in sociohydrology of floods have been described in more detail than others: the levee effect and the learning effect. However, additional types of behaviour operate and need further research. Taking the case of frequent flash floods occurring in an ephemeral stream, a tributary of the Vilama River, located in San Pedro de Atacama, Chile, at the interphase between the Atacama desert and the Andean Altiplano, we explore the existence of further behavioural types in the sociohydrology of floods at four neighbourhoods along the tributary. Fieldwork to reconstruct a recent flood event, hydrological analysis and semistructured interviews with key informants to characterize people's responses to floods were conducted. Results show evidence that the so-called status quo effect is present at the riparian community scale, i.e. when communities do not learn and adapt to prevent damage even when exposed to frequent floods. Possible causes of the status quo effect are discussed.
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    Tidal energy resource characterization in Chacao Channel, Chile
    (2017) Guerra, Maricarmen; Cienfuegos Carrasco, Rodrigo Alberto; Thomson, Jim; Suárez, Leandro
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    Using social cartographies for the calibration of two-dimensional hydraulic flood models
    (2024) Alarcon, Benjamin; Saenger, Vicente; Guerra, Maricarmen; Faundez, Rodrigo; Link, Felipe; Carrasco, Juan Antonio; Link, Oscar
    Accurate numerical simulations of floods provide precise hazard estimations and can improve risk management strategies. Unfortunately, flood events of extraordinary magnitude -needed for risk assessment- are rare and difficult to measure. Hence, numerical models are typically calibrated and validated using a few measured scenarios of moderate magnitudes. Flood social cartography, a participatory mapping method, identifies historically flood-prone areas based on the residents' experience and knowledge. This research proposes using social cartographies to calibrate and validate hydraulic flood models. A numerical flood simulation model of the lower reach of the unregulated Carampangue River, Chile, was calibrated and validated using available information from gauges, satellite images, and social cartographies for the towns of Arauco and Ramadillas. The discharge magnitude of floods recorded in the social cartographies was determined. The quality of both models, calibrated with gauge data and with social cartography flood maps, was determined in each case by comparing computations with depth gauge data and satellite images through the root mean square error and the critical success index. Results show that social cartography participants recognized flooded areas corresponding to a discharge with a return period of 35 years. The calibration with social cartographies delivered a set of Manning's roughness coefficients similar to those obtained using gauge data. The validation cases show that water depth and the extension of floods computed with the model calibrated using social cartographies is comparable to that computed using gauge data in the calibration process. RMSE from both calibrated models is of order 0.1 m. Consequently, the social cartography of floods constitutes a useful data source of extreme flood scenarios for calibrating and validating numerical flood models.