Temporally Dynamic, Cohort-Varying Value-Added Models

dc.contributor.authorPage, Garritt L.
dc.contributor.authorSan Martin, Ernesto
dc.contributor.authorIrribarra, David Torres
dc.contributor.authorVan Bellegem, Sebastien
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-20T16:15:09Z
dc.date.available2025-01-20T16:15:09Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractWe aim to estimate school value-added dynamically in time. Our principal motivation for doing so is to establish school effectiveness persistence while taking into account the temporal dependence that typically exists in school performance from one year to the next. We propose two methods of incorporating temporal dependence in value-added models. In the first we model the random school effects that are commonly present in value-added models with an auto-regressive process. In the second approach, we incorporate dependence in value-added estimators by modeling the performance of one cohort based on the previous cohort's performance. An identification analysis allows us to make explicit the meaning of the corresponding value-added indicators: based on these meanings, we show that each model is useful for monitoring specific aspects of school persistence. Furthermore, we carefully detail how value-added can be estimated over time. We show through simulations that ignoring temporal dependence when it exists results in diminished efficiency in value-added estimation while incorporating it results in improved estimation (even when temporal dependence is weak). Finally, we illustrate the methodology by considering two cohorts from Chile's national standardized test in mathematics.
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11336-024-09979-0
dc.identifier.eissn1860-0980
dc.identifier.issn0033-3123
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11336-024-09979-0
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/90479
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:001251853200001
dc.issue.numero3
dc.language.isoen
dc.pagina.final1103
dc.pagina.inicio1074
dc.revistaPsychometrika
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectSchool value persistence
dc.subjectValue-added models
dc.subjectTemporal dependence
dc.subject.ods04 Quality Education
dc.subject.odspa04 Educación de calidad
dc.titleTemporally Dynamic, Cohort-Varying Value-Added Models
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen89
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadWOS;2025-01-12
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