A scenario-specific nexus modelling toolkit to identify trade-offs in the promotion of sustainable irrigated agriculture in Ecuador, a Belt and Road country

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dc.article.number137350
dc.catalogadoryvc
dc.contributor.authorNaranjo, L.
dc.contributor.authorCorrea-Cano, M. E.
dc.contributor.authorRey, D.
dc.contributor.authorChengot, R.
dc.contributor.authorEspaña Chávez, Francisco Javier
dc.contributor.authorSactic Chacón, María Isabel
dc.contributor.authorKnox, J. W.
dc.contributor.authorYan, X.
dc.contributor.authorViteri-Salazar, O.
dc.contributor.authorFoster Bonnette, William Ellis
dc.contributor.authorMelo, O.
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-17T23:06:10Z
dc.date.available2024-07-17T23:06:10Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractIncreased demand for food due to development and population growth has prompted irrigated agriculture expansion, posing enhanced global challenges to water, energy, and food security. To confront these challenges, an approach that considers the water-energy-food-environment nexus can address multidimensional trade-offs that complicate the efficient use of resources and the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals. In order to provide insights into solutions to these challenges for a specific case, this study develops a modelling toolkit that integrates biophysical and socioeconomic aspects of nexus components in the context of agro-export and irrigation expansion in Ecuador, a Belt and Road Country. The nexus toolkit is applied to agriculturaldevelopment scenarios defined in participatory workshops and incorporates a water resources model, a lifecycle environmental assessment, and a socioeconomic analysis. The modelling exercise is constructed around specific scenario-determined land use patterns in the Santa Elena peninsula of Ecuador. Agriculture in the peninsula is water-limited, relying on delivery infrastructure and transfers from a neighbouring catchment. Impacts on nexus components are analysed for ten crops under two potential land-use scenarios: a substantial increase in irrigated area due to investment in irrigation infrastructure; and a substantial shift in land use towards export crops. The two have distinct impact on water and energy use, global warming potential, freshwater eutrophication, terrestrial acidification, and fine particulate matter formation. The results provide insights into future water and energy resource challenges and environmental and socioeconomic trade-offs associated with likely changes in irrigation expansion. The results for scenarios show that, for example, banana production has the greatest environmental impacts (e.g. a 519% increase in global warming potential and 452% increase in fine particulate matter form for scenario 2), primarily due to water and energy requirements, despite the crop being mainly produced organically. In addition, total net income and labour demand increase (net income increases by 43% and 217% under scenarios 1 and 2, respectively) due to a larger crop area and crop intensification. Scale effects on labour demand are mainly due to labour intensity of maize in Ecuador, which is disadvantaged in the crop export scenario (an unexpected result). However, expanding irrigated areas would also increase total water and energy demand for irrigation, global warming potential, and freshwater eutrophication. This type of information enables stakeholders and decision-makers to design policies that achieve equitable and sustainable agricultural production, water use, and economic growth.
dc.description.funderUK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
dc.description.funderANID/CONICYT NEXT-AG Project (Nexus thinking for sustainable agricultural development in Andean countries) NE/R015759/1).
dc.fechaingreso.objetodigital2024-07-18
dc.format.extent12 páginas
dc.fuente.origenWoS
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.137350
dc.identifier.eissn1879-1786
dc.identifier.issn0959-6526
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.137350
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/87099
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:001007447500001
dc.information.autorucFacultad de Agronomía e Ingeniería Forestal;España Chávez, Francisco Javier; S/I; 1092039
dc.information.autorucFacultad de Agronomía e Ingeniería Forestal;Sactic Chacón, María Isabel;S/I;1070612
dc.information.autorucFacultad de Agronomía e Ingeniería Forestal;Foster Bonnette, William Ellis;S/I; 100480
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesocontenido parcial
dc.publisherElsevier Sci Ltd
dc.revistaJournal of Cleaner Production
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectWater
dc.subjectExport agriculture
dc.subjectEcuador
dc.subjectSustainable agriculture
dc.subjectFood
dc.subjectEnvironment nexus
dc.subject.ddc600
dc.subject.deweyTecnologíaes_ES
dc.subject.ods06 Clean water and sanitation
dc.subject.odspa06 Agua limpia y saneamiento
dc.titleA scenario-specific nexus modelling toolkit to identify trade-offs in the promotion of sustainable irrigated agriculture in Ecuador, a Belt and Road country
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen413
sipa.codpersvinculados1092039
sipa.codpersvinculados1070612
sipa.codpersvinculados100480
sipa.trazabilidadWoS;2023-07-06
sipa.trazabilidadORCID;2024-07-14
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