A Two-Level Theory of Presidential Instability

dc.contributor.authorLuna, Juan Pablo
dc.contributor.authorMurillo, Maria Victoria
dc.contributor.authorSchrank, Andrew
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-10T13:46:14Z
dc.date.available2024-01-10T13:46:14Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractThis article analyzes the conditions that facilitate the ousting of Latin American presidents and the mechanisms that prevent their downfall. Drawing lessons from the impeachment of Paraguayan president Fernando Lugo, it extends previous arguments about the "legislative shield" to show that the same forces that sometimes conspire to terminate an administration at other times work to resist its demise. The argument underscores the interaction between legislators and social movements, two prominent actors in the literature on presidential instability. The article presents a two-level theory to identify possible configurations of mass and legislative alignments, and tests some implications of the theory with data for 116 Latin American presidents over 28 years. Multiple comparison tests based on random effects logistic models show that popular protests can be neutralized by strong support in Congress, and hint at the possibility that legislative threats can be neutralized by loyal demonstrators in the streets.
dc.fechaingreso.objetodigitalNo aplica
dc.format.extent8 páginas
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1017/S1531426X0000368X
dc.identifier.eissn1548-2456
dc.identifier.issn1531-426X
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1017/S1531426X0000368X
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/79137
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000331604200002
dc.information.autorucCiencia Política;Luna J;S/I;1004187
dc.issue.numero1
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesosin adjunto
dc.pagina.final10
dc.pagina.inicio3
dc.publisherCAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
dc.revistaLATIN AMERICAN POLITICS AND SOCIETY
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subject.ods08 Decent Work and Economic Growth
dc.subject.ods10 Reduced Inequality
dc.subject.ods01 No Poverty
dc.subject.odspa08 Trabajo decente y crecimiento económico
dc.subject.odspa10 Reducción de las desigualdades
dc.subject.odspa01 Fin de la pobreza
dc.titleA Two-Level Theory of Presidential Instability
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen56
sipa.codpersvinculados1004187
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.indexScopus
sipa.trazabilidadCarga SIPA;09-01-2024
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