Citizens' Stability of Electoral Preferences in Chile Since the Social Upheaval

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dc.contributor.authorAltman, David
dc.contributor.authorDiaz, Juan
dc.contributor.authorEngel, Eduardo
dc.contributor.authorPena, Benjamin
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-20T17:05:30Z
dc.date.available2025-01-20T17:05:30Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractA strong oscillation of electoral preferences took place in Chile between the election of the members of the Constitutional Convention in May 2021 and the election of the members of the Constitutional Council in May 2023. This is surprising because, until the national-scale social uprising in 2019, there was a broad consensus that Chile was a highly institutionalised party system where political preferences tended to be stable. In this research note, we study how the electoral choices made by citizens shifted between both elections, using the ecological inference approach based on a Bayesian hierarchical model developed elsewhere. We find that a vast majority of the new voters that resulted from the compulsory voting policy implemented between both elections opted for centre-right to right-wing candidates. However, this evidence is insufficient to determine whether these new voters predominantly align with right-leaning ideologies or hold anti-systemic viewpoints.
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/1866802X231213885
dc.identifier.eissn1868-4890
dc.identifier.issn1866-802X
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1177/1866802X231213885
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/90718
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:001209673800001
dc.issue.numero1
dc.language.isoen
dc.pagina.final67
dc.pagina.inicio50
dc.revistaJournal of politics in latin america
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectChile
dc.subjectdirect democracy
dc.subjectecological inference approach
dc.subjectcompulsory voting
dc.subjectparty system institutionalisation
dc.subject.ods10 Reduced Inequality
dc.subject.odspa10 Reducción de las desigualdades
dc.titleCitizens' Stability of Electoral Preferences in Chile Since the Social Upheaval
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen16
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadWOS;2025-01-12
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