Reportes, informes y documentos de trabajo

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Browsing Reportes, informes y documentos de trabajo by Subject "03 Good health and well-being"

Now showing 1 - 4 of 4
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    Benchmarking the Covid-19 pandemic across countries and states in the USA under heterogeneous testing
    (2020) Asahi Kodama, Kenzo Javier; Undurraga Fourcade, Eduardo Andrés; Wagner, Rodrigo; CEDEUS (Chile)
    Public health officials need to make urgent decisions to reduce the potential impact of the CoVID-19 pandemic. Benchmarking based on the increase in total cases or case fatality rates is one way of comparing performance across countries or territories (such as states in the USA), and could inform policy decisions about COVID-19 mitigation strategies. But comparing cases and fatality across territories is challenging due to heterogeneity in testing and health systems. We show two complementary ways of benchmarking across countries or US states. First, we used multivariate regressions to estimate the test-elasticity-of-COVID-19-case-incidence. We found a 10% increase in testing yielded ~9% (95% CI:4.2–3.4%; p<0.001) increase in reported cases across countries, and ~2% (95%CI:0.1-3.4%; p=0.03) increase across US states during the week ending April 10th, 2020. We found comparable negative elasticities for fatality rates (across countries: β =-0.77, 95%CI:-1.40– -0.14; p=0.02; US states: β=-0.15, 95%CI:-0.30-0.01; p=0.06). Our results were robust to various model specifications. Second, we decomposed the growth in cases into test growth and positive test ratio (PTR) growth to intuitively visualize the components of case growth. We hope these results can help support evidence-based decisions by public health officials as more consistent data hopefully becomes available.
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    Inflammatory back pain for diagnosis of axial psoriatic arthritis: a systematic review and meta-analysis (Protocol)
    (2024) Díaz Álvarez, Pamela Alejandra; Briones Carvajal, Juan Rodrigo; Taylor, Kathryn
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    Nonlinear time-series forecasts for decision support: short-termdemand for ICU beds in Santiago, Chile, during the 2021COVID-19 pandemic
    (2022) Quiroga Gómez, Bernardo Francisco; Vásquez, Cristián; Vicuña Loyola, María Ignacia
    In Chile, due to the explosive increase of new Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases during the first part of 2021, the ability of health services to accommodate new incoming cases was jeopardized. It has become necessary to be able to manage intensive care unit (ICU) capacity, and for this purpose, monitoring both the evolution of new cases and the demand for ICU beds has become urgent. This paper presents short-term forecast models for the number of new cases and the number of COVID-19 patients admitted to ICUs in the Metropolitan Region in Chile.
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    Tool for Estimating the Probability of Having COVID-19 With 1 or More Negative RT-PCR Results
    (2021) Jara, Alejandro ; Undurraga, Eduardo A. ; Araos, Rafael